PERSON
Dan Gardner
Canadian journalist and Tetlock's co-author on Superforecasting — translator of forecasting science into accessible narrative for practitioners and policymakers.
Dan Gardner is a Canadian journalist specializing in risk, decision-making, and future studies. His books Risk: The Science and Politics of Fear (2008) and Future Babble (2010) established his reputation for making psychological research accessible to general audiences. Gardner's collaboration with Tetlock on Superforecasting paired Tetlock's empirical rigor with Gardner's narrative clarity, producing a book that could be read by intelligence analysts, corporate strategists, and engaged citizens who would never wade through the statistical appendices of Expert Political Judgment. The partnership was symbiotic: Tetlock provided the data and framework, Gardner provided the voice and structure that made the research actionable beyond academia.
In The You On AI Field Guide
Gardner's Future Babble (2010) anticipated many of Superforecasting's themes, documenting how expert predictions about the future are reliably wrong and why media ecosystems reward confident wrongness over calibrated accuracy. The book drew on Tetlock's research but was written before the Good Judgment Project proved that better forecasting was possible. Superforecasting provided the constructive program Future Babble had lacked: not merely diagnosing why prediction fails