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CONCEPT

The Vertical Power Shift

Nye’s extension of his own framework: the AI-era redistribution of productive capability that moves not horizontally between rival states but vertically, from institutions to individuals—a structural change that every analytical framework built for a horizontal world must stretch to accommodate.
Four centuries of international relations theory rested on a horizontal assumption: power flows between states, alliances, and blocs. Joseph Nye spent his career extending this framework to accommodate soft power and power diffusion—but even his expansions operated primarily on the horizontal axis, flowing between institutions of comparable organizational scale. The arrival of AI as documented in [YOU] on AI breaks the axis itself: the collapse of the imagination-to-artifact ratio moves productive capability—not merely the power to communicate but the power to build—from the institutional level to the individual level. The developer who can produce with a subscription what previously required a team has acquired a form of power that is self-sustaining in a way that a hashtag is not, and that compounds in a way that horizontal power transitions between states do not capture. The vertical shift is the defining redistribution of the AI era, and it demands not only a new
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