
The cycle’s governing argument is that AI amplifies whatever signal it receives—that the consequences of the transition are not determined by the technology but by the institutional choices made about how it is deployed. The misfortune-injustice distinction is the analytical instrument that makes this claim politically actionable: it identifies which harms are the product of choices (and therefore subject to institutional remedy) and which are genuinely unavoidable (and therefore not).
The cycle documents the reclassification in action. Workers displaced by AI tools are told to upskill, to adapt, to embrace change—language that places the burden of institutional failure on the individuals who bear its costs. This is the move Shklar exposed: renaming injustice as misfortune, transferring responsibility from the political order that failed to the people it failed, and dissolving the obligation to build the transitional institutions that could have prevented the harm.
Shklar developed the distinction across two works: the conceptual groundwork in Ordinary Vices (1984), where she argued for putting cruelty first among political vices, and its fullest articulation in The Faces of Injustice, which she described as asking “when is a disaster a misfortune and when is it injustice?” The book’s central insight is that the question is almost never purely empirical—it is shaped by who has the authority to answer it and what their interests are.
Shklar’s key observation was that passive injustice—the failure to prevent harm one could have prevented—is as morally significant as active injustice. The bystander who could intervene and does not is not innocent; nor is the political order that could build transitional institutions and does not. This extension to inaction is what makes the framework apply so precisely to the AI transition, where the harms accumulate not through anyone’s deliberate cruelty but through the systematic failure to build the protections that would have prevented them.
Classification as political act. The misfortune-injustice distinction is not a neutral empirical operation. The same event can be classified either way depending on what could have prevented it and who had the power to do so. The powerful have a systematic incentive to classify the harms they produce as misfortune, and the ideological resources to make the classification stick. Recognizing this is the first step in any political analysis of AI-driven harm.
Passive injustice. Shklar extended the concept to cover not only harms that were actively inflicted but harms that were not prevented when prevention was possible. An institution that could have built transitional support for displaced workers and chose not to—whether from inertia, competitive pressure, or the successful reclassification of the harm as misfortune—is passively unjust, and passive injustice generates the same obligation to remedy as active injustice.
The chain of choices. A harm is injustice rather than misfortune when it can be traced to a chain of choices made by identifiable actors within modifiable institutional arrangements. AI-driven displacement traces precisely this chain: choices about deployment speed, choices about the distribution of productivity gains, choices about the presence or absence of retraining programs and transitional benefits. The chain does not point to a single villain; it points to a political order that has decided, through action and inaction, whose costs it will bear.
The most persistent objection to Shklar’s distinction is that it demands too much: that in a complex industrial or technological transition, the causal chains are too long and too diffuse to attribute responsibility to any actor or institution, and that calling the result injustice is moralizing rather than analysis. Shklar’s response, sustained across both books, is that the diffuseness of the causal chain is itself a political product—institutional arrangements have been deliberately structured to make responsibility difficult to assign, and the difficulty of assignment is a feature, not a bug, of systems that externalize costs onto the powerless. A second objection is that the distinction between misfortune and injustice depends on counterfactual claims about what “could have been otherwise” that are inherently contested. Shklar acknowledged this but argued that the contestation is itself a political struggle in which the powerful have structural advantages, and that the philosopher’s task is to name the struggle rather than pretend it does not exist. The concept pairs naturally with cruelty by default in the cycle’s analytical vocabulary: where cruelty by default names the mechanism of structural harm, the misfortune-injustice distinction names the rhetorical operation by which structural harm is rendered invisible.