The conditional prediction — derived from Ericsson's framework — that expertise in the AI era will relocate rather than disappear, but only where the conditions for deliberate practice are deliberately preserved.
The skills that constituted mastery in the pre-AI era — syntax, frameworks, implementation techniques, specific domain knowledge — have been commoditized by AI. The skills that constitute mastery in the AI era are different: judgment (the capacity to evaluate AI output critically and detect subtle errors), taste (the capacity to determine what is worth building), and the capacity to ask questions the machine cannot originate. These new skills are scarce, valuable, and — the point on which the entire Ericsson framework converges — they still require deliberate practice to develop. The future of mastery is not foreclosed by AI. It is conditional. Expertise will relocate successfully to the judgment level only if the conditions for deliberate practice are deliberately maintained at that level, by individuals who choose the harder path, by organizations that build the supporting structures, and by educational institutions that teach questioning alongside answering.
The Future of Mastery
In The You On AI Field Guide
The ascending-friction argument generates the prediction