PERSON
Arnold Toynbee
British historian (1889–1975) whose twelve-volume A Study of History traced the rise and fall of twenty-six civilizations and produced the most ambitious comparative historical framework of the twentieth century.
Arnold Joseph Toynbee was born in London in 1889 and educated at Winchester and Balliol College, Oxford. He served as a British delegate to the Paris Peace Conference in 1919 and as a war correspondent during the Greco-Turkish War in 1921, where he wrote his famous notebook warning that
the machine may run away with the pilot. From 1925 to 1955 he directed the Royal Institute of International Affairs at Chatham House, producing the annual
Survey of International Affairs alongside his scholarly magnum opus.
A Study of History, published in twelve volumes
between 1934 and 1961, attempted something no modern historian had seriously undertaken: a comparative analysis of the rise and fall of civilizations across the full span of recorded history. He appeared on the cover of
Time magazine in 1947 and became one of the most publicly prominent intellectuals of the mid-twentieth century.
In The You On AI Field Guide
Toynbee's central framework — challenge and response — argued that civilizations grow not