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Angus Deaton

The Nobel laureate who spent a career counting what prosperity actually costs—and whose distributional framework, forged on decades of empirical welfare research, reveals that the AI transition will produce not one story but millions, sorted by who escapes first and who is left behind.
Angus Deaton is the economist of distribution. Where most economists measure prosperity in aggregates, Deaton has spent five decades insisting that the aggregate conceals the distribution, and that the distribution is where the justice—or the injustice—resides. His career’s central achievement, the great escape, is a documentation of the extraordinary improvement in human welfare over two and a half centuries—life expectancy doubled, mortality crises averted, extreme poverty retreating—accompanied by the uncomfortable finding that the escape has always been distributed unequally, concentrating gains among those already advantaged and leaving the rest to catch up across timescales measured in generations. In 2024 Deaton published “Rethinking My Economics,” a rare public confession in which a Nobel laureate acknowledged that the discipline he had advanced had underestimated the costs of globalization and technological change for specific communities, endorsing the view that managed transitions require unions, institutions, and political will alongside the technology itself. Applied to artificial
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